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Swagger · Posted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 11:55 am Post subject: Lead a Merry Dance

A top fancy of mine is running this weekend - I have been waiting all season for this horse to run under optimum conditions which it will get.

I will confirm the selection if my conviction is still as strong once the odds have been released as I have an idea of what price the horse should be and need the market to support this.

I don't think I have done this before, but it is a horse that I would strongly recommend people back, normally I put up a selection or a viewpoint, but this horse is ready to win and will have been primed for a race late in the season on fast ground in my opinion.

More to follow in due course.

Regards.

_________________
www.kierenfallon.co.uk

Swagger · Posted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 10:44 pm Post subject:

Although a different horse to whom I was referring to in my above post, it is worth mentioning that DARK MISSILE is a cracking price at 33/1 for the Diadem Stakes Antepost with Bet365 Guaranteed Price. I was let down by the non-participation of Exclamation in the Ayr Gold Cup last week, so I'm only doing a small Win initially and will top up once the final declarations are released tomorrow.

+ It Doesn't look the most high quality field
+ She loves big fields
+ She loves Ascot
+ She came to within a nasal hair of winning the corresponding race last year
+ She looked far too big earlier in the season and this would surely have been her end of season target
+ 6 Furlongs is her trip
+ She will probably return around 14/1 SP, so a small antepost risk is worthwhile in my view
+ Her end of season form has previously been particularly strong during her career

Regards.
_________________
www.kierenfallon.co.uk