[value seeker]

A few weeks ago I wrote about the danger of backing favs at Towcester as the Northamptonshire track had a dire record for fav backers ,the worst in the whole country.
The seven races that day produced just one winning fav at 11/10 which meant a big profit for the layers.
So once again tread carefully at this track tommorrow if racing goes ahead ,there is a 8.00 am inspection.
Also remember that in the last 63 bumpers just 11 favs have won at the track ,in fact between the middle of Nov 2006 and the middle of Nov the track went two years without a bumper winner.
The corses character has to some peoples opinion made it a graveyard for favs which feature a gruelling climb to the line that starts in the back straight ,a unique test that means form from other tracks dosent always transfer well to Towester.
Also horseswith no  course experience have trouble there which could mean why so many bumper favs dip.
If you dont lay the favs be carefull taking too many short prices on horses running there but remember that can leave you with scope of getting a big price winner to swell your Cheltenham bank.
Finally have a pop at the placepot the last Sunday placepot give a chunky dividend of £574.30

[SkankyMinga]

[johne5knuckle]

[lochsong]

[FallonFacta]

Sunday Racing can be confusing!  

[lochsong]

I'm on Cloud Nine in the 3.10.

[Rowan]

[jennywales]

Holly Walk in the hunter at Fontwell (trying to top up my Betfair account after splurging on Chesnut Annie for the Foxhunters!)

[jennywales]

[alansouthcoast]

I am really keen on Lough Derg at Fontwell today. He has won the 3.35 for the last two years and wont mind the heavy going. It is raining hard as I type, and I am less than ten miles from the track. Anything you back at Fontwell will need to handle very testing conditions.

[YAIYAM]

The 2:15 @ Leop is going to be a tough one to crack today as there are lots of the runners where the form is tide in pretty tight with each others and it is hard to seperate them.
The difference in the times betweent the MCR(pierse) hurdle and the race Moville won was minimal especially as the MCR was quicker earlier on.
The only horse that might have a slight edge over the other runners in these 2 fields to me is Total Exitement as he was coming back from a break so hopefully his run will give him somthing to help him.
He is also twice the price of the other horses from those races bar Takestan 25/1 is also probably not totally out of it on his best but does not seem to have a decent reason to turn over the ones at the head of the market like Total Exitement does.
Alpine Eagle could be the other one with a big chance as he finished 7th in the 2009 Pierse Hurdle with not much experiance, has obviously had his problems but his run back against Won In The Dark was pretty good for a horse running off his rating in a handicap like this.

TE 2 Points E/W @ 14/1
AE 3 Points E/W @ 8/1

[theGoingStick]

Won In The Dark for me here.

[YAIYAM]

[newyorktony]

2-15 leo  i agree with yaiyam that alpine eagle will go close but i fancy the other harrington runner in colleoni to go well i have took the 16-1 and also slievecorragh 20-1 both to small e/ws

[Gorg_George]

After a hammering on Friday and a little touch landed yesterday I am to get involved at Kempton today.

2-50
1pt Turf Time @ 7.0
2pts Turf Time TBP @ 2.44

3-20
1pt State General @ 8.62
2pts State General TBP @ 2.0 (3 places)

3-55
2pts Cut And Thrust @ 13.5
2pts Cut And Thrust TBP @ 3.5

4-55
3pts Pegasus Again @ 2.4

Total outlay 13 pts

Good luck if your playing

[theGoingStick]

[YAIYAM]

[theGoingStick]

[Andy]

Won In The Dark won that with a bit to spare, though he probably should have given the opposition and race conditions.  I backed this horse at 40/1 for the CH last year but he's as big as 100/1 this year.  I guess he probably isn't good enough hence he has benefitted from the drop in class.

[YAIYAM]

[Owl of Minerva]

Penn Da Benn looks too big @ 5.2 here. TTB has had some hard races and been below par and stamina is unproven. CC is arguably more exposed than PDB and has a similar level of form. PDB has course form and if he comes on for that last run should be right there.

[newyorktony]

its frustrating that i cant bet on betfair but there is no way round it!! betting in the US isnt easy as you cannot take the price so some prices go in alot and others go out    when i backed lahaleeb in the canadian race i would have been happy with 16s and she drifted to 40-1 i have backed horses that are 10-1 on morning line and they start at 6-5 its crazy really.....  anyway after mics delight 20-1 1st  some fool 6-1 3rd  and now these two im at last in some form happy days      

[newyorktony]

trying to strike while the iron is hot     surely old charm must have a very good chance in the 4-50 won very well last beating a mullins horse easily and this the first the favourite will be racing against the boys so will take her one   have took the 4-1 with ladsbrokes

[Owl of Minerva]

Lough Derg has to be chanced @ 8.6w/2.54tbp

30%-70%

[Owl of Minerva]

[Swagger]

3.55 Kempton
Last Sovereign to Win @ 7/2
Ray of Joy to Win @ 10/1

Regards.

[theGoingStick]

[YAIYAM]

Aran can take this on the way to Cheltenham glory  

[theGoingStick]

[Swagger]

I didn't expect Kipchak to be able to last home, but fair play too good for Last Sovereign.

4.55 Kempton
Pegusis Again is a worthy favourite and will try and make all but he looks underpriced and could set it up for Gallentry who is well handicapped to reverse form around a track I think suits much better than Lingfield.

Regards.

[YAIYAM]

[theGoingStick]

[theGoingStick]

[Owl of Minerva]

Tranquil Sea pretty impressive I thought. Had loads more up his sleeve if needed

Snowy Morning stayed on extremely well. Mullins looks to have a few good Grand National chances

[Andy]

[three out]

[FallonFacta]

Mikael D'Hagueneut on ATR  

Irish Invader, Jayo and J'vole too

[alansouthcoast]